Een behoorlijk actief orkaanseizoen lijkt dan logisch

Based on the various factors as Atlantic Ocean sea-surface temperatures (SSTs), ENSO (neutral conditions with potentially developing towards La Nina) and correlation with similar atmospheric conditions in the past we can expect the 2020 Atlantic hurricane season to be more active than usual. Possibly similar to 2010, 2011, and 2017 seasons. According to the NCSU (North Carolina State University), the season will likely see an above-average number of tropical systems in the Atlantic Basin, potentially 18-22 named storms and 8-11 hurricanes. 3-5 of them could become major hurricanes (e.g. Category 5 hurricane Dorian). The Gulf of Mexico, in particular, could see a much more active hurricane season, with nearly 50% of all the season’s expected named storms forming in the Gulf. In addition, two hurricanes and possibly one or even two reaching major strength.

Note: the Atlantic basin covers the area which includes the entire Atlantic Ocean, the Gulf of Mexico, and the Caribbean Sea. The long-term average (taken over the last 70 years – between 1951 and 2019) of named storms is 11, and the short-term average (taken over the last 15 years – between 1995 and 2019) is 14 named storms. The long-term average for the Gulf of Mexico is three named storms and one hurricane every hurricane season. The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1st through November 30th.

https://www.severe-weather.eu/tropical-weather/above-average-atlantic-hurricane-season-likely-mk/